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The Fermi Paradox š½
(5 minute read)
Hey ya alien,
You ever look up at the night sky?
No, thatās your ceiling.
Go outside.
Ugh. Light pollution.
Go into the woodsā¦the deep woods.
See that?
Thatās a crap load of stars.
How many do you think?
No. Gen Z is tapped.
Itās 2,500.
On the clearest night sky, you can see 2,500 stars.
But hereās the thing.
These stars are just in our Milky Wayā¦this tiny bit of the Milky Way.
The Milk Way has 250 billion stars.
But weāre just 1 galaxy.
Guess how many galaxies there are.
TAPPED.
The answer is 250 billion ā meaning there are as many galaxies in the universe as stars in our galaxy.
Lemme repeat that.
THERE ARE AS MANY GALAXIES IN THE UNIVERSE AS STARS IN OUR GALAXY.
Still didnāt sink in?
Think of it this way.
Pick up a grain of sand.
For every grain of sand on Earth, there are 10,000 stars.
Get it?
But it gets crazier.
1% of these stars have planets like Earth.
So 1 grain of sand = 100 Earths.
Howās that make you feel?
Gnarly huh?
Well, buckle upā¦it gets gnarlier.
Because the Earth is a young planet ā only 4.5 billion years young.
But most planets are oldā¦
Like 8 billion years old.
Meaning they have a 3.5 billion year head start.
Can you imagine Earth in 100 years? 1,000 years? 1 million?
Now try 3.5 billion yearsā¦
Mind. Blown.
However that future looks, one thing is certain: weāre traveling all over space.
How?
~Energy~
See there are 3 levels of energy available:
Earth
Sun
Galaxy
(Donāt worry, Iāll get to the paradox soon.)
Right now, weāre on level #1 ā close to using all the energy from our Earth.
The next level is using all the energy from our Sun ā with something like a Dyson Sphere.
Then weād use the Sunās energy to send 2 human fleets to other stars ā where weād repeat the process.
If each replication took 500 years, weād conquer a galaxy in ~3.5 million years.
3.5 million years = 1 galaxy.
But rememberā¦
The average planet is 3.5 billion years older than Earthā¦.thatās 1,000 times longer than the 3.5 million years needed for 1 galaxy.
Translation: Aliens should be all over the universe.
So this begs the question:
Great question.
Maybe thereās hope for Gen Z.
Because you just discovered theā¦
Badass, right?
The Fermi Paradox asks, āWhere the hell are the aliens?ā
There are 2 answers to Fermi:
Weāre alone
Weāre not alone
Letās explore each.
1. Weāre alone
Weāre alone = no aliens.
Why are there no aliens?
Basically, thereās no life ācause something stops itā¦.a Great Filter.
But the big question is: whereās the filter?
Before us?
Or after us?
The answer is critical.
Before us = HOORAY š„³
Because that means life is rare.
Aka every other life form never made it to our level. Our Earth had some special event that other Earth-like planets never had.
Top contenders are events that took a while ā like billions of years.
Here are the top 2:
Life itself ā Unclear how this happened but some think lightning zapped a molecular soup, creating lifeās building blocks ā like amino acids and nucleotides ā which formed a cell that could self-replicate. This took 1 billion years.
Prokaryote to Eukaryote ā One old bacteria ate another and told it to be the brain (nucleus). This took 2 billion years.
Some say the jump from semi-smart (monkey) to smart (human) is another leap ā but itās less convincing.
Regardless, this means you better hope we donāt find life on Mars.
Why?
Because if lame ass Mars can make life ā especially complex life ā weāre definitely not rare. So thatād mean the great filter isā¦
AFTER US!
[Cue: Villain laughing. Woman shrieking. Baby crying.]
After us = DEATH š
Basically it means something in the future kills us ā probably just ourselves with nukes, climate change, or AI.
Thanks, Elon.
But for now, letās explore option 2:
2. Weāre not alone
Not alone = aliens exist (but we canāt see āem).
Why not?
There are a bunch of reasons.
Here are 5:
Weāre rural ā We live in a remote part of the universe ā like Eskimos in northern Canada when Columbus landed in America.
Weāre a zoo ā Aliens observe us but donāt mess with us. They probably just giggle watching us read emails and throw poo at each other.
Weāre useless ā Weāre like an anthill. Aliens are like Columbus. Would Columbus care about an anthillā¦or just ignore it, find gold, and diddle natives?
Weāre dumb ā Our technology is too primitive to understand alien signals. Or we just donāt understand reality because reality aināt real mannnnnnn.
Physical worldās dumb ā The universe is cold, dark, and lonely. Screw that. Aliens uploaded their brains to a virtual heaven with infinite virgins.
Okayā¦
So what do you do with this?
Hug me ā¤ļø
First, because physical touch is my love language.
But second, because weāre either:
Stranded on a tiny rock in vast darkness
Surrounded by aliens
Iām hoping for #2
Crush Alien Ass,
Dylan & Henry š
P.S if you enjoyed this lesson, forward it to a friend.
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P.P.S Still here? Click below to watch my Fermi Paradox video š
(Credit to Wait But Why ā Tim Urban is a genius)